Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.53/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.19
+28% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
15.7 Crosses 19.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
326 Passes 215
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2025 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
22.02.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
19.10.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.04.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
27.08.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.03.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1-2
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.59 xG 0.92
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
397 Passes 191
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 7
36 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes De Merida at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 64% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 36%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.59 to 0.92 — on chances, Estudiantes De Merida could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.50 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano?

Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 54%, draw 21%, Rayo Zuliano 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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