UCV 3-2 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -17%
1.23/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.32
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
23.7 Crosses 18.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2025 UCV UCV 1-4 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
13.04.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
25.07.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
19.05.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 5-2 HT 2-0 UCV UCV VEN
12.02.2024 UCV UCV 3-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.10.2023 UCV UCV 3-2 HT 3-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
3-2
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.73 xG 2.30
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
328 Passes 193
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCV vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV nicked a narrow win over Metropolitanos 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UCV had 61% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 39%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.73 to 2.30 — on chances, Metropolitanos could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UCV and 1.83 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of UCV vs Metropolitanos?

UCV 3-2 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split UCV 46%, draw 28%, Metropolitanos 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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