Carabobo vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carabobo v Monagas — Team-Based Signals
Carabobo vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Carabobo 1-0 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics
Carabobo nicked a narrow win over Monagas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Carabobo had 56% of the ball to Monagas's 44%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.41 to 0.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Carabobo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carabobo and 0.83 for Monagas.
What was the final score of Carabobo vs Monagas?
Carabobo 1-0 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Monagas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 58%, draw 25%, Monagas 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.