Club Brugge 3-0 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.35
X/1
22%
3.6
X/2
10%
17.5
X/X
8%
7.86
2/1
9%
20.9
2/2
8%
12.8
2/X
4%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.6pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 15%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+38% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Molde
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.51 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
413 Passes 442
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2024 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
3-0
AWAY Molde
1.27 xG 0.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
470 Passes 348
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge ran out comfortable winners over Molde 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club Brugge had 56% of the ball to Molde's 44%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.27 to 0.34.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Molde?

Club Brugge 3-0 Molde in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 58%, draw 19%, Molde 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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