Lille vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lille v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Lille vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Lille 1-1 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Lille and Sturm Graz shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Lille at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lille had 64% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 36%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.36.
What was the final score of Lille vs Sturm Graz?
Lille 1-1 Sturm Graz in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lille vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lille 50%, draw 26%, Sturm Graz 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lille) went the other way.