Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-6 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 26% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.41
1/2
5%
22.7
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.68
X/2
12%
4.9
X/X
12%
5.45
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
20%
2.86
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.6pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 48%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+85% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.2 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Olympiakos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 1.10
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
217 Passes 438
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-4 HT 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv AVKL
05.08.2010 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos AVL
29.07.2010 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-6
AWAY Olympiakos
1.27 xG 2.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
474 Passes 546
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos cruised past Maccabi Tel Aviv 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Olympiakos made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 47% of the ball to Olympiakos's 53%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 1.27 to 2.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maccabi Tel Aviv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maccabi Tel Aviv and 1.00 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Olympiakos?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-6 Olympiakos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 37%, draw 27%, Olympiakos 37%. The final score 1-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
14 Mar 2024
20:45 Fiorentina vs Maccabi Haifa Analysis →
20:45 PAOK vs Dinamo Zagreb Analysis →
20:45 Viktoria Plzen vs Servette Analysis →
20:45 Fenerbahçe vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
23:00 Lille vs Sturm Graz Analysis →
23:00 Club Brugge vs Molde Analysis →