Girona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Athletic Bilbao
İS1
2-3
HT 1-3
Girona
İS1
Girona 3-0 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Girona cruised past Athletic Bilbao 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Girona found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Girona had 47% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 53%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.75 to 1.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Girona and 1.83 for Athletic Bilbao.
What was the final score of Girona vs Athletic Bilbao?
Girona 3-0 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Athletic Bilbao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Girona 34%, draw 29%, Athletic Bilbao 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.