Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.8
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.15
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
9%
16.2
X/1
25%
3.82
X/2
6%
10.4
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
6%
9.66
2/X
4%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.85/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.31
+30% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.1 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Getafe
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.62 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
408 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
09.03.2025 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
04.02.2025 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 5-0 HT 3-0 Getafe Getafe İSPK
15.12.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
03.08.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
15.05.2024 Getafe Getafe 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
1-0
AWAY Getafe
1.63 xG 1.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
465 Passes 189
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Atletico Madrid vs Getafe
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Atletico Madrid edged past Getafe 1-0 in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14 Mar 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 65% of the ball to Getafe's 35%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.63 to 1.27.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.50 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?

Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 59%, draw 25%, Getafe 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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