Brisbane City 2-4 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
46%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.46
No
35%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
46%
Away Win
33%
+13.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
+0.2pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 37%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.62/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.43
-40% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +78%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.7 Crosses 18.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.06.2025 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-2 HT 3-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
23.03.2025 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
20.07.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
19.04.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
16.07.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
08.04.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights saw off Brisbane City 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brisbane City and 2.17 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights?

Brisbane City 2-4 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 33%, draw 21%, Gold Coast Knights 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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