Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
72%
+3.3pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.2pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.89/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.65
+23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
20.4 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.90 xG 0.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
392 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-5 HT 1-4 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
28.09.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
10.05.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 5-0 HT 3-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
09.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
06.12.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
21.09.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 4-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4-2
AWAY Slaven Belupo
3.65 xG 0.22
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
566 Passes 272
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb saw off Slaven Belupo 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 64% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 36%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 3.65 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.33 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 75%, draw 16%, Slaven Belupo 9%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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