Osijek 0-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 33% vs market 31.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.03/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.17
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.9 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 Passes 288
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
28.09.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
19.04.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
08.02.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
02.11.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
18.08.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-2 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
0-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.13 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
418 Passes 271
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Osijek vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek and HNK Gorica fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Osijek had 58% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 42%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.13 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osijek and 0.83 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

Osijek 0-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Osijek 44%, draw 28%, HNK Gorica 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osijek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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