Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Once Caldas v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Once Caldas 4-2 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas took care of Deportivo Pasto 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Once Caldas had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 50%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.30 to 2.24 — on chances, Deportivo Pasto could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Once Caldas and 0.67 for Deportivo Pasto.
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Result & Final Score
Once Caldas 4 - 2 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 54%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pasto 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.