Naxxar Lions 2-1 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.06
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hibernians FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
20.09.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
11.04.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
09.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 3-2 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
06.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK
17.08.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
2-1
AWAY Hibernians FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions edged past Hibernians FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Naxxar Lions as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 45% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 55%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Naxxar Lions and 1.67 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Hibernians FC?

Naxxar Lions 2-1 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 41%, draw 25%, Hibernians FC 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxxar Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naxxar Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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