Hibernians FC 1-1 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.62/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.76
+8% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
11.04.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
09.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 3-2 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
06.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK
17.08.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
02.03.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC and Naxxar Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernians FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.00 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Hibernians FC 1-1 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 48%, draw 29%, Naxxar Lions 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernians FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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