Audace Cerignola 3-0 Virtus Francavilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Francavilla EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -30%
1.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.39
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Virtus Francavilla
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.12.2023 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 3-3 HT 1-2 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
12.03.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
06.11.2022 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 1-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
3-0
AWAY Virtus Francavilla
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Francavilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola cruised past Virtus Francavilla 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 57% of the ball to Virtus Francavilla's 43%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Audace Cerignola and 1.33 for Virtus Francavilla.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Francavilla?

Audace Cerignola 3-0 Virtus Francavilla in the Italy - Serie C on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Francavilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 51%, draw 27%, Virtus Francavilla 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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