Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.51
Over Pick
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.49
2-3
35%
2.01
4-5
29%
2.66
6+
14%
6.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.9
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
8%
6.71
X/X
11%
5.92
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
17%
4.03
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.9pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy The Market 36%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.91/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.59
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.5 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.72 xG 1.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
341 Passes 525
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps CONLK
16.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2 HT 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
19.03.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
15.09.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
14.08.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 5-2 HT 4-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.08.2021 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-3
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
2.39 xG 2.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
345 Passes 572
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
29 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy saw off Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 40% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 60%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.39 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.67 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 45%, draw 24%, Los Angeles Galaxy 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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