CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CA Penarol 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) saw off CA Penarol 2-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CA Penarol at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 67% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 33%, shots finished 18-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CA Penarol and 1.67 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
CA Penarol 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 56%, draw 25%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 19%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS Yes went the other way.