San Diego 5-0 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.61
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.73
2-3 Goals
40%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
17%
4.7
X/2
7%
9.45
X/X
12%
6.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
18.85
2/2
10%
6.22
2/X
4%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.85 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.2pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.80/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.97
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.9 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Diego
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Austin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.20
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
599 Passes 240
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 San Diego 2-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
23.03.2025 Austin Austin 2-1 HT 2-1 San Diego ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
5-0
AWAY Austin
2.51 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
637 Passes 416
93% Pass Accuracy 86%
36 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego swept aside Austin 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Diego as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, San Diego had 59% of the ball to Austin's 41%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.51 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Diego and 1.00 for Austin.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Austin?

San Diego 5-0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split San Diego 55%, draw 23%, Austin 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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