Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Union Saint-Gilloise v Anderlecht — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 Anderlecht — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise took care of Anderlecht 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. At 1.72 (~58%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, possession split 53% to 47% in Union Saint-Gilloise's favour, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.20 to 0.81.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Union Saint-Gilloise against 0.33 for Anderlecht.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht Result & Final Score
Union Saint-Gilloise 3 - 1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Cup on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 58%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.