Aguila 1-2 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.52
+22% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.05.2026 Aguila Aguila 1-1 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
09.03.2026 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
14.12.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.12.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-3 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-3 HT 3-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo edged past Aguila 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguila and 1.50 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Aguila 1-2 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aguila 43%, draw 24%, Luis Angel Firpo 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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