Aguila 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.1pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.56/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.54
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
09.03.2026 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
14.12.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.12.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-3 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-3 HT 3-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and Luis Angel Firpo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 36% / 24% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aguila and 1.50 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Aguila 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aguila 40%, draw 36%, Luis Angel Firpo 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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