Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
22%
-7.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +9%
0.62/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.73
-36% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alianza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
08.03.2026 Alianza Alianza 3-2 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
17.11.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.09.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
19.05.2025 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
16.05.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza edged past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.67 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 14%, draw 31%, Alianza 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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