VSK Arhus 2-5 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.2pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.62/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.08
+0% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Holbaek
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Holbaek Holbaek 2-2 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
05.04.2025 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 3-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
24.08.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 2-0 HT 0-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
15.06.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 4-3 HT 3-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
14.04.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-1 HT 1-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.03.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek swept aside VSK Arhus 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Holbaek made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VSK Arhus and 1.83 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Holbaek?

VSK Arhus 2-5 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 36%, draw 32%, Holbaek 32%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VSK Arhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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