San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Jul 2024

San Jose Earthquakes
1-2 HT 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.69
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
15%
4.98
X/2
11%
7.25
X/X
15%
5.72
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
13%
4.54
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Jose Earthquakes v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.56/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.63
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.5 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
404 Passes 424
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
26.10.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-0 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
27.08.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-0 HT 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
16.04.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
28.08.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-0 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
23.05.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD

San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1-2
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
0.68 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
354 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Kansas City squeezed past San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sporting Kansas City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 50% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.68 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.17 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?

San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 40%, draw 28%, Sporting Kansas City 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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