Dagenham & Redbridge 7-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.8
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
10%
7.14
X/2
15%
4.9
X/X
9%
4.99
2/1
11%
32.0
2/2
19%
2.81
2/X
8%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.34/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.48
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Gateshead
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 1-0 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
15.08.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-4 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
28.03.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
06.08.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-2 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
16.02.2019 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
06.10.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
7-1
AWAY Gateshead
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge ran out comfortable winners over Gateshead 7-1. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dagenham & Redbridge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 32% of the ball to Gateshead's 68%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 2.33 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Gateshead?

Dagenham & Redbridge 7-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 34%, draw 27%, Gateshead 39%. The final score 7-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5
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