Rochdale 1-2 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 32% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.53
X/2
9%
7.32
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
13%
5.26
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
1.60/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.59
-1% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Solihull Moors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.02.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-2 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
03.10.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
1-2
AWAY Solihull Moors
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Solihull Moors nicked a narrow win over Rochdale 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rochdale at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 69% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 31%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rochdale and 2.00 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Solihull Moors?

Rochdale 1-2 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 43%, draw 30%, Solihull Moors 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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