Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 32% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
12%
8.05
X/X
15%
4.99
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
9%
6.12
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.51/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.06
+40% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
342 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 69%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.6 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
175 Passes 311
58% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Reading Reading 1-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
07.10.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 1-1 Reading Reading İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
0-1
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.96 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
298 Passes 219
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Reading vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient nicked a narrow win over Reading 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Reading at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Reading had 55% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 45%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.96 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Reading and 1.50 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Reading vs Leyton Orient?

Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Reading 47%, draw 26%, Leyton Orient 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Reading) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reading) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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