İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 1-0 Ermenistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
13%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.97
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1 EV+ ✓
28%
4.06
X/2
4%
11.0
X/X
12%
5.74
2/1
7%
21.8
2/2
4%
8.94
2/X
4%
17.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.06 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
60%
+5.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
13%
Away Win
18%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.82/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.10
-59% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / +72%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
31.2 Crosses 9.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Ermenistan
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.72 xG 1.10
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
460 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2025 Ermenistan Ermenistan 2-1 HT 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti DKE
27.09.2022 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 3-2 HT 1-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan AVUL
04.06.2022 Ermenistan Ermenistan 1-0 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti AVUL
11.10.2011 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 2-1 HT 1-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan AVR
03.09.2010 Ermenistan Ermenistan 0-1 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
1-0
AWAY Ermenistan
2.46 xG 0.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
377 Passes 405
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 2
25 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Ermenistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti nicked a narrow win over Ermenistan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İrlanda Cumhuriyeti as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti had 49% of the ball to Ermenistan's 51%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.46 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İrlanda Cumhuriyeti's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti and 1.20 for Ermenistan.

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Ermenistan?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 1-0 Ermenistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Ermenistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İrlanda Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 66%, draw 21%, Ermenistan 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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