D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0 Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

📅14/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
6%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 33% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
70%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sudan EU Bookmakers 14%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.90/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.39
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +67%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 70%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sudan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.76
66% Ball Possession 34%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
298 Passes 118
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Sudan Sudan 1-0 HT 0-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti DKE
09.09.2023 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 2-0 HT 1-0 Sudan Sudan AFUK
08.06.2022 Sudan Sudan 2-1 HT 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AFUK
POST-MATCH D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti squeezed past Sudan 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sudan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti and 1.00 for Sudan.

What was the final score of D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Sudan?

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0 Sudan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 65%, draw 21%, Sudan 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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