Fas vs Kongo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fas v Kongo — Team-Based Signals
Fas vs Kongo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Kongo
HAZ
2-0
HT 1-0
Kongo
HAZ
Fas 1-0 Kongo — Actual Match Statistics
Fas edged past Kongo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fas had 77% of the ball to Kongo's 23%, shots finished 18-1, expected goals 1.64 to 0.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fas's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fas had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Fas and 0.00 for Kongo.
What was the final score of Fas vs Kongo?
Fas 1-0 Kongo in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fas vs Kongo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Fas 77%, draw 13%, Kongo 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.