Gabon 2-0 Burundi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Oct 2025

Gabon
2-0 HT 0-0
Burundi
📅14/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Gabon vs Burundi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 36% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-5.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gabon v Burundi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabon EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Burundi EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.01/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.50
+21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +57%
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Gabon vs Burundi Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gabon
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Burundi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Burundi Burundi 1-2 HT 0-1 Gabon Gabon DKE
23.03.2019 Burundi Burundi 1-1 HT 0-0 Gabon Gabon AFUK
08.09.2018 Gabon Gabon 1-1 HT 0-1 Burundi Burundi AFUK
POST-MATCH Gabon vs Burundi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabon saw off Burundi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gabon as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gabon had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gabon and 1.00 for Burundi.

What was the final score of Gabon vs Burundi?

Gabon 2-0 Burundi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabon vs Burundi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gabon win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Gabon 66%, draw 23%, Burundi 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gabon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gabon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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