Bermuda 0-7 Curaçao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
66%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.9pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
66%
Away Win
75%
-9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bermuda EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Curaçao EU Bookmakers 80%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.77/2.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/0.37
-51% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +94%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
225 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 85%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 53.0
12.3 Crosses 15.0
0.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bermuda
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Curaçao
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.08 xG 2.86
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
183 Passes 414
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 53
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2025 Curaçao Curaçao 3-2 HT 2-2 Bermuda Bermuda DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bermuda
0-7
AWAY Curaçao
0.13 xG 3.68
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Target 15
3 Corners 7
162 Passes 457
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bermuda vs Curaçao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curaçao cruised past Bermuda 7-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Curaçao as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bermuda had 31% of the ball to Curaçao's 69%, shots finished 5-27, expected goals 0.13 to 3.68.

What was the final score of Bermuda vs Curaçao?

Bermuda 0-7 Curaçao in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bermuda vs Curaçao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Curaçao win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bermuda 16%, draw 18%, Curaçao 66%. The final score 0-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curaçao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curaçao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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