Nikaragua vs Honduras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nikaragua v Honduras — Team-Based Signals
Nikaragua vs Honduras Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Nikaragua 2-0 Honduras — Actual Match Statistics
Nikaragua got the better of Honduras 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Honduras at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nikaragua had 37% of the ball to Honduras's 63%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.91 to 0.96.
What was the final score of Nikaragua vs Honduras?
Nikaragua 2-0 Honduras in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nikaragua vs Honduras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Honduras win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nikaragua 19%, draw 25%, Honduras 56%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Honduras) went the other way.