Guatemala vs Panama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guatemala v Panama — Team-Based Signals
Guatemala vs Panama Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Guatemala
CON
1-1
HT 0-1
Panama
CON
Guatemala 2-3 Panama — Actual Match Statistics
Panama squeezed past Guatemala 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panama as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guatemala had 62% of the ball to Panama's 38%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.87 to 0.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guatemala.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Panama led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guatemala and 1.50 for Panama.
What was the final score of Guatemala vs Panama?
Guatemala 2-3 Panama in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guatemala vs Panama?
Before kick-off our model rated an Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 26%, draw 33%, Panama 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.