Haiti vs Kosta Rika Prediction — Model Probabilities
Haiti v Kosta Rika — Team-Based Signals
Haiti vs Kosta Rika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Haiti 1-0 Kosta Rika — Actual Match Statistics
Haiti shaded a tight game against Kosta Rika 1-0.
We leaned Kosta Rika at 53% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Haiti had 47% of the ball to Kosta Rika's 53%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kosta Rika led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haiti and 1.33 for Kosta Rika.
Haiti vs Kosta Rika Result & Final Score
Haiti 1 - 0 Kosta Rika in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Haiti vs Kosta Rika Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Haiti 20%, draw 27%, Kosta Rika 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.