Haiti vs Kosta Rika Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haiti v Kosta Rika — Team-Based Signals
Haiti vs Kosta Rika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Haiti
CON
1-1
HT 0-0
Kosta Rika
CON
2-1
HT 0-1
Kosta Rika
GK
0-1
HT 0-0
Kosta Rika
DKE
1-0
HT 1-0
Haiti
DKE
Haiti 1-0 Kosta Rika — Actual Match Statistics
Haiti squeezed past Kosta Rika 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Kosta Rika at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Haiti had 47% of the ball to Kosta Rika's 53%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kosta Rika led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haiti and 1.33 for Kosta Rika.
What was the final score of Haiti vs Kosta Rika?
Haiti 1-0 Kosta Rika in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haiti vs Kosta Rika?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Haiti 17%, draw 31%, Kosta Rika 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.