Finlandiya vs Malta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Finlandiya v Malta — Team-Based Signals
Finlandiya vs Malta Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Malta
HAZ
1-2
HT 1-0
Finlandiya
HAZ
Finlandiya 0-1 Malta — Actual Match Statistics
Malta edged past Finlandiya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Finlandiya at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Finlandiya had 61% of the ball to Malta's 39%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.31 to 0.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Finlandiya.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Finlandiya had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Finlandiya and 0.33 for Malta.
What was the final score of Finlandiya vs Malta?
Finlandiya 0-1 Malta in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Finlandiya vs Malta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Finlandiya win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Finlandiya 68%, draw 23%, Malta 9%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finlandiya) went the other way.