Finlandiya vs Malta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Finlandiya v Malta — Team-Based Signals
Finlandiya vs Malta Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Finlandiya 0-1 Malta — Actual Match Statistics
Malta edged past Finlandiya 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
File this under upsets: a 74% lean on Finlandiya went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Finlandiya's favour, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 2.31 to 0.15 — on chances, Finlandiya could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Finlandiya had the better of it with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Finlandiya against 0.33 for Malta.
Finlandiya vs Malta Result & Final Score
Finlandiya 0 - 1 Malta in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Finlandiya vs Malta Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Finlandiya win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Finlandiya 74%, draw 18%, Malta 8%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finlandiya) went the other way.