Surinam vs El Salvador Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Surinam v El Salvador — Team-Based Signals
Surinam vs El Salvador Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Surinam 4-0 El Salvador — Actual Match Statistics
Surinam swept aside El Salvador 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Surinam as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Surinam had 50% of the ball to El Salvador's 50%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 3.05 to 0.62.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Surinam had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Surinam and 1.00 for El Salvador.
What was the final score of Surinam vs El Salvador?
Surinam 4-0 El Salvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Surinam vs El Salvador?
Before kick-off our model rated a Surinam win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Surinam 49%, draw 33%, El Salvador 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Surinam), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.