Hırvatistan 3-1 Faroe Adaları — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
85%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.11
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.69
2-3 Goals
33%
2.17
4-5 Goals
31%
2.45
6+ Goals
13%
4.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1.15
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1 EV+ ✓
27%
3.92
X/2
2%
35.0
X/X
3%
13.85
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
2%
35.0
2/X
3%
35.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.92 — our 27% vs market 18.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
85%
Home Win
85%
+0.5pp
9%
Draw
9%
+0.2pp
5%
Away Win
6%
-0.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Faroe Adaları EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
3.24/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.28
+11% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +19%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
452 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
61.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
34.8 Crosses 12.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Faroe Adaları
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.65 xG 1.01
74% Ball Possession 26%
26 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
17 Corners 3
549 Passes 146
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 14
45 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2025 Faroe Adaları Faroe Adaları 0-1 HT 0-1 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
3-1
AWAY Faroe Adaları
2.68 xG 0.45
81% Ball Possession 19%
20 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
565 Passes 79
88% Pass Accuracy 52%
47 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan vs Faroe Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hırvatistan beat Faroe Adaları 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hırvatistan as the likeliest winner at 85%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Hırvatistan had 81% of the ball to Faroe Adaları's 19%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.68 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan vs Faroe Adaları?

Hırvatistan 3-1 Faroe Adaları in the World Cup Qualifiers on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan vs Faroe Adaları?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan win the most likely single outcome at about 85%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 85%, draw 9%, Faroe Adaları 5%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hırvatistan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hırvatistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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