Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austria Wien v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Austria Wien 3-1 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Austria Wien beat Sturm Graz 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Austria Wien made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Austria Wien had 46% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 54%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 2.00 to 1.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Austria Wien and 0.83 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Austria Wien 3-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 38%, draw 27%, Sturm Graz 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.