Rangers 4-2 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 35% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.49
X/2
9%
7.93
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
13%
6.11
2/X
5%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
2.34/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.15
-48% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
266 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.4 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hearts
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
368 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Hearts Hearts 2-1 HT 2-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
13.09.2025 Rangers Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
16.02.2025 Hearts Hearts 1-3 HT 0-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
10.11.2024 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
03.08.2024 Hearts Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
18.05.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-3 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
4-2
AWAY Hearts
2.46 xG 0.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
370 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers got the better of Hearts 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rangers had 56% of the ball to Hearts's 44%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.46 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rangers and 1.33 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Hearts?

Rangers 4-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rangers 51%, draw 23%, Hearts 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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