Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v Celtic — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic nicked a narrow win over Kilmarnock 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 39% of the ball to Celtic's 61%, shots finished 17-25, expected goals 0.86 to 2.98 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celtic's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kilmarnock and 3.17 for Celtic.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Celtic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 18%, draw 17%, Celtic 65%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.