Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.02
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
8%
5.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.65
2/2
7%
8.36
2/X
6%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.65 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+2.1pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
19%
Away Win
19%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -26%
1.85/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.65
+22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.5 Crosses 18.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
365 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
27.09.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
20.09.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKLK
29.03.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 2-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
05.01.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
14.09.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
2-0
AWAY Aberdeen
2.42 xG 0.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
308 Passes 373
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
42 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell got the better of Aberdeen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Motherwell had 46% of the ball to Aberdeen's 54%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.42 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Motherwell and 1.17 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Motherwell 2-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 61%, draw 20%, Aberdeen 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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