FC Juarez vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Juarez v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Juarez 1-2 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa shaded a tight game against FC Juarez 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We leaned FC Juarez at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 2.09, about 48% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.87, roughly 53%.
By the numbers, Necaxa saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.36 to 0.68 — on chances, FC Juarez could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for FC Juarez against 1.67 for Necaxa.
FC Juarez vs Necaxa Result & Final Score
FC Juarez 1-2 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Juarez vs Necaxa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 41%, draw 27%, Necaxa 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Juarez), Under 2.5 went the other way.