Guadalajara vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guadalajara v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guadalajara 1-0 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara shaded a tight game against Club America 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.68, about 60%.
The match data tells the story: Guadalajara had 52% of the ball to Club America's 48%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.75 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guadalajara's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guadalajara and 1.17 for Club America.
Guadalajara vs Club America Result & Final Score
Guadalajara 1-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guadalajara vs Club America Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 41%, draw 25%, Club America 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.