Ebbsfleet United 1-0 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Mar 2025

Ebbsfleet United
1-0 HT 0-0
AFC Fylde
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Fylde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.33
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
11%
6.33
X/2
12%
5.2
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
13%
3.2
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v AFC Fylde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.10/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.77
-20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
105 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 110 · 91%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY AFC Fylde
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
06.04.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
21.10.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
10.08.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
22.12.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
01.09.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-3 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 AFC Fylde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-0
AWAY AFC Fylde
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United edged past AFC Fylde 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ebbsfleet United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 48% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 52%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.67 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Fylde?

Ebbsfleet United 1-0 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 38%, draw 27%, AFC Fylde 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
15 Mar 2025
15:30 Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tamworth Analysis →
18:00 Altrincham vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
18:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Southend United Analysis →
18:00 Sutton United vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Yeovil vs York City Analysis →