Hartlepool United 1-1 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.3
X/1
9%
4.69
X/2
8%
7.12
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
17%
5.31
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.28/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
-17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Passes 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 3-4 HT 1-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
24.02.2024 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-1 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
26.09.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-2 HT 0-2 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
15.11.2022 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors FAK
05.11.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-2 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United FAK
09.02.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-1
AWAY Solihull Moors
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United and Solihull Moors couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hartlepool United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 50% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 50%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.67 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Solihull Moors?

Hartlepool United 1-1 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 42%, draw 26%, Solihull Moors 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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