Airdrieonians 3-3 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.79
1/2
13%
23.4
1/X
6%
16.15
X/1
11%
9.59
X/2
19%
4.15
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.17
2/X
9%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 59%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
0.97/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.33
-4% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
179 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonians
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Livingston
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
8 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
17.12.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-3 HT 0-1 Livingston Livingston İKCL
28.09.2024 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
21.08.2010 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonians and Livingston couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Airdrieonians and 2.25 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Livingston?

Airdrieonians 3-3 Livingston in the Scotland - Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 28%, draw 27%, Livingston 46%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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