Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Austria Wien v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Austria Wien 2-5 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz made light work of Austria Wien 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
From a near-even 35% / 32% / 33% read, it was Sturm Graz who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: Sturm Graz saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 2.11 to 3.35.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Austria Wien against 0.67 for Sturm Graz.
Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Result & Final Score
Austria Wien 2 - 5 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Austria Wien vs Sturm Graz Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 35%, draw 32%, Sturm Graz 33%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.