Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.95
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
26%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
5.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.69
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.95
X/1
24%
4.19
X/2
7%
13.3
X/X
5%
7.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
18.25
2/2
7%
9.53
2/X
6%
17.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.25 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
-0.5pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
2.00/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.96
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.6 Crosses 11.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.31 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
418 Passes 402
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
04.12.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-1 HT 3-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
30.11.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 6-0 HT 4-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
14.09.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
27.04.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-0 HT 4-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.04.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
0-1
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.10 xG 0.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
349 Passes 213
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland edged past Midtjylland 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Midtjylland at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Midtjylland had 59% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 41%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Midtjylland and 1.17 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 65%, draw 16%, FC Nordsjaelland 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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