SonderjyskE 1-1 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.1
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
16%
7.5
X/2
15%
4.8
X/X
11%
5.0
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
16%
2.66
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.26/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.15
+47% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
11.7 Crosses 21.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.19 xG 2.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 398
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-3 HT 2-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
29.10.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-1 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
20.07.2025 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
16.02.2025 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 1-3 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
02.08.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 4-0 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
08.05.2022 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
1-1
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.27 xG 1.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE and AGF Aarhus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 47% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 53%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.27 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SonderjyskE and 2.33 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs AGF Aarhus?

SonderjyskE 1-1 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 34%, draw 26%, AGF Aarhus 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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